SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
26.29% ( 0.15) | 24.31% ( -0.13) | 49.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.66) | 46.78% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.61) | 69.04% ( -0.62) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( 0.47) | 31.81% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( 0.53) | 68.24% ( -0.54) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 0.25) | 18.99% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( 0.41) | 50.54% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.4% |
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