SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
40.21% ( 1.53) | 25.43% ( -0.14) | 34.36% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( 0.45) | 47.89% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( 0.42) | 70.07% ( -0.41) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 1) | 23.59% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.34% ( 1.42) | 57.66% ( -1.42) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.6) | 26.81% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( -0.79) | 62.11% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.36% |
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