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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
4 - 1
Glenavon

Carson (44'), McKendry (73', 90+4'), Shevlin (88')
Scott (16'), McKendry (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Malone (6')
Kerr (46'), Campbell (58'), Ward (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-4 Larne
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawGlenavon
48.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.89% (0.0019999999999953 0)65.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 48.58%
    Glenavon 27.78%
    Draw 23.63%
ColeraineDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Coleraine 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 5-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-2 Coleraine
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-3 Hamilton
Saturday, September 9 at 3.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Coleraine 1-3 Linfield
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-4 Larne
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Glenavon
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership


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