Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
Result | ||
Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
48.58% ( -0) | 23.64% ( -0) | 27.78% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% ( 0) | 42.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.89% ( 0) | 65.1% ( -0.01) |
Coleraine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% ( -0) | 17.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% ( -0) | 48.42% ( -0) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 0) | 28.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.66% ( 0) | 64.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.78% |
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