SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
66.68% ( 5.13) | 19.9% ( -1.95) | 13.42% ( -3.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 2.04) | 45.96% ( -2.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( 1.91) | 68.27% ( -1.91) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( 2.21) | 12.87% ( -2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.75% ( 4.36) | 39.25% ( -4.37) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.66% ( -3.2) | 45.34% ( 3.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.8% ( -2.65) | 81.2% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.89) 1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 8.38% ( 1.21)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.91)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.48)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.92% Total : 66.68% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.55)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.31)Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.42% |
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