Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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