SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Newry City AFC |
60.51% ( 0.07) | 21.57% ( -0.03) | 17.92% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.06) | 44.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 0.06) | 67% ( -0.06) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 0.04) | 14.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.89% ( 0.08) | 42.11% ( -0.08) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.01) | 38.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( -0.01) | 75.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.92% |
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