SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
56.59% ( -0.03) | 22.55% ( -0.14) | 20.86% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.82) | 44.68% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.79) | 67.04% ( -0.79) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.28) | 15.58% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( 0.51) | 44.55% ( -0.51) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.63) | 35.43% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 0.66) | 72.2% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.86% |
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