SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
26.96% ( 4.3) | 24.96% ( 0.75) | 48.09% ( -5.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( 2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.57) | 49.06% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.51) | 71.13% ( -0.51) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 4) | 32.48% ( -4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 4.26) | 69.01% ( -4.26) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( -1.81) | 20.43% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% ( -2.97) | 52.88% ( 2.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.86)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.55)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.41)Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -1.23)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.95)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.5)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.09% |
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