Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Glentoran
28.59% ( 0.04)	26.11% ( -0.01)	45.29% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

0.08)

52.79% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

0.07)

74.41% (

-0.07)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82% (

0.07)

33.18% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

0.08)

69.79% (

-0.08)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

0.02)

23.24% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85% (

0.03)

57.15% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 28.59%

Glentoran 45.29%

Draw 26.11%

Crusaders	Draw	Glentoran
1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.29%