SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
34.08% ( 0.02) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 40.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.58% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.04) | 45.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.04) | 68.03% ( 0.04) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( -0.01) | 60.95% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.03) | 22.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.04) | 55.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
