Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 8.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
Result | ||
Cliftonville | Draw | Ballymena United |
74.77% ( 0.03) | 16.37% ( -0.01) | 8.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 43.58% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( -0.01) | 42.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% ( -0.02) | 65.12% ( 0.01) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.19% ( 0) | 9.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.42% ( 0.01) | 32.57% ( -0.01) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.32% ( -0.06) | 51.68% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.21% ( -0.04) | 85.79% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Cliftonville | Draw | Ballymena United |
2-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 74.76% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 16.37% | 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 8.85% |
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