SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Crusaders |
18.15% ( 0.06) | 22.99% ( 0.09) | 58.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( -0.29) | 50.25% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.26) | 72.21% ( 0.26) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.1) | 41.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( -0.09) | 78.07% ( 0.09) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% ( -0.16) | 16.76% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% ( -0.28) | 46.69% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.15% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.11% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 58.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
