SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Ballymena United |
47.91% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0) | 27.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0) | 45.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0) | 67.82% ( 0) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( -0.01) | 19.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( -0.02) | 50.69% ( 0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.01) | 29.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( 0.01) | 66.07% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.2% Total : 47.91% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.82% |
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