SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
36.21% ( 0.02) | 24.27% ( 0.01) | 39.52% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.03) | 42.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( -0.04) | 64.69% ( 0.03) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0) | 23.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0) | 57.03% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.03) | 21.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.05) | 54.51% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.52% |
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