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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
May 4, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Taylors Avenue

Carrick
0 - 4
Ballymena


Gordon (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hume (45'), McCartan (64' pen., 89'), McCready (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
25.48%22.59%51.94%
Both teams to score 60.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29%39.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94%62.05%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32%28.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5%64.5%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77%44.23%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 25.48%
    Ballymena United 51.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 6.45%
1-0 @ 5.52%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-1 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 6.02%
0-3 @ 4.82%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.81%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 51.94%

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