Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
