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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Mourneview Park
L

Glenavon
1 - 4
Larne

O'Connor (26' pen.)
O'Connor (30'), Doyle (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lynch (21'), Hughes (50'), Hale (59'), Mitchell (83' pen.)
Sule (39'), Jarvis (53')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawLarne
32.62%24.05%43.33%
Both teams to score 60.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54%64.46%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37%19.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.41%51.59%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 32.62%
    Larne 43.33%
    Draw 24.05%
GlenavonDrawLarne
2-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-1 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 6.52%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 3.39%
1-4 @ 1.99%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 43.33%

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