Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
