Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
12.69% ( -0.58)	18.99% ( -0.63)	68.32% ( 1.21)

Both teams to score 48.54% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37% (

1.45)

43.63% (

-1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

1.4)

66.02% (

-1.41)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99%

45.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

-0)

80.94% (

-0)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28% (

0.76)

11.72% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.15% (

1.6)

36.85% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 12.69%

Linfield 68.32%

Draw 18.99%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Linfield
1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.69%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.99%	0-2 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 8.66% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 3.71% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.32%