SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
12.69% ( -0.58) | 18.99% ( -0.63) | 68.32% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( 1.45) | 43.63% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 1.4) | 66.02% ( -1.41) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.99% | 45.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.06% ( -0) | 80.94% ( -0) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.28% ( 0.76) | 11.72% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.15% ( 1.6) | 36.85% ( -1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.21% Total : 12.69% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.99% | 0-2 @ 12.12% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.38)1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 8.66% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 3.71% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.99% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.32% |
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