SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
30.35% ( 0.02) | 26% ( 0.02) | 43.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.08) | 51.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.07) | 73.33% ( 0.07) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.02) | 31.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -0.03) | 67.59% ( 0.03) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.06) | 23.49% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -0.08) | 57.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.63% |
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