Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
46.2% ( -0)	24.43%	29.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

45.29% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

67.63% (

-0)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28%

19.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27%

51.73% (

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

28.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41% (

64.59% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 46.2%

Carrick Rangers 29.37%

Draw 24.43%

Glenavon	Draw	Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.2%	1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.37%