SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
74.19% ( 0.1) | 15.46% ( -0.08) | 10.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.34) | 33.19% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.06% ( 0.39) | 54.94% ( -0.4) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.39% ( 0.1) | 7.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.79% ( 0.26) | 27.21% ( -0.26) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.2) | 42.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( 0.17) | 78.51% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 74.19% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.46% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 10.35% |
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