SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
69.06% ( -0.76) | 18.47% ( 0.38) | 12.47% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.76) | 41.84% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% ( -0.77) | 64.25% ( 0.77) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( -0.41) | 11.02% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.68% ( -0.91) | 35.32% ( 0.91) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.76% ( 0.15) | 44.24% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.68% ( 0.12) | 80.32% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.06% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.47% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 12.47% |
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