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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 2
Carrick

Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Wallace (48'), Snoddy (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38'), Ervin (62'), Cherry (81'), Gordon (86'), Mitchell (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
55.37% (-0.192 -0.19) 22.65% (0.116 0.12) 21.97% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (-0.435 -0.43)43.74% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (-0.428 -0.43)66.13% (0.426 0.43)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.218 -0.22)15.67% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29% (-0.404 -0.4)44.71% (0.402 0.4)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.176 -0.18)33.83% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.189 -0.19)70.5% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 55.37%
    Carrick Rangers 21.97%
    Draw 22.64%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 55.37%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Glenavon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Glenavon
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-2 Carrick
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Carrick
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 4-3 Crusaders
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Larne
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-2 Carrick
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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