SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Coleraine in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
26.35% ( -0.06) | 24.19% ( 0.04) | 49.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.74% ( -0.22) | 46.25% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.45% ( -0.21) | 68.54% ( 0.2) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( -0.17) | 31.48% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( -0.19) | 67.86% ( 0.19) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.08) | 18.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( -0.13) | 50.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.35% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 49.45% |
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