SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
64.37% ( -3.27) | 20.33% ( 0.94) | 15.31% ( 2.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 3.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.86) | 43.85% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( 0.84) | 66.24% ( -0.84) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.67) | 12.89% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.69% ( -1.39) | 39.31% ( 1.39) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.68% ( 3.92) | 41.31% ( -3.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.16% ( 3.29) | 77.83% ( -3.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -1.04) 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.71)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.92)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.59)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.29)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.14% Total : 64.36% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.52)Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.33% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.61)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.29)Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.31% |
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