SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 77.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.29%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Portadown |
77.18% ( 0.06) | 14.42% ( -0.03) | 8.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.07) | 34.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.26% ( 0.08) | 56.74% ( -0.08) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( 0.03) | 7.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.44% ( 0.07) | 26.56% ( -0.07) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0) | 47.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.32% ( -0) | 82.68% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.29% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 77.17% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.42% | 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 8.39% |
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