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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park
L

Portadown
0 - 5
Larne


McNally (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Millar (32'), Doherty (40', 52'), Bonis (50'), Bolger (53')
A (35')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.19%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLarne
8.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 16.42% (-0.111 -0.11) 74.96% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.38% (0.394 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (0.514 0.51)43.74% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.87% (0.503 0.5)66.12% (-0.509 -0.51)
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.1% (0.355 0.35)52.89% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.41% (0.224 0.22)86.58% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (0.155 0.16)10.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.92% (0.361 0.36)33.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Portadown 8.62%
    Larne 74.94%
    Draw 16.42%
PortadownDrawLarne
1-0 @ 3.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.47% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 8.62%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.84% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 16.42%
0-2 @ 14.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 12.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 6.19% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.062 0.06)
0-5 @ 2.85% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.042 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.81% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 74.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-3 Linfield
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 4-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 4-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-3 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-1 Crusaders
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-4 Larne
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-0 Cliftonville
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Larne
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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