Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
