Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
