SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Glentoran in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
46.32% ( 0.12) | 25.78% ( -0.02) | 27.9% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.02) | 51.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( 0.02) | 73.61% ( -0.02) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( 0.07) | 22.37% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( 0.1) | 55.87% ( -0.1) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( -0.07) | 33.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( -0.07) | 69.83% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.9% |
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