SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Cliftonville |
42.32% ( -0.21) | 26.94% ( 0.05) | 30.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.11) | 55.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.09) | 76.36% ( 0.09) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.16) | 25.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( -0.22) | 60.67% ( 0.22) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.07) | 32.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( 0.08) | 69.36% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.74% |
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