NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park
Convie (75')
Marron (48'),
Scott (73'), McGee (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferris (16'), Boyd (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Loughgall.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.
| Result |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Loughgall |
21.9% ( -0.04) | 22.94% ( 0.01) | 55.16% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.09) |
| 54.89% ( -0.09) | 45.11% ( 0.1) |
| 32.54% ( -0.09) | 67.46% ( 0.09) |
| 65.33% ( -0.09) | 34.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.1) | 71.4% ( 0.1) |
| 83.78% ( -0.02) | 16.23% ( 0.02) |
