SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
41.02% ( -0.08) | 24.26% ( 0.03) | 34.72% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.15) | 42.47% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.15) | 64.87% ( 0.14) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.1) | 20.84% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.16) | 53.52% ( 0.15) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.04) | 24.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( -0.06) | 58.32% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.72% |
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