SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
36.04% ( -0.71) | 25.47% ( 0.14) | 38.49% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.68) | 47.86% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -0.63) | 70.04% ( 0.63) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.71) | 25.82% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -0.98) | 60.78% ( 0.98) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.01) | 24.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( -0.01) | 58.91% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.49% |
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