Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
