Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
