Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
