SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
62.24% ( 1.19) | 19.65% ( -0.23) | 18.11% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.47) | 35.44% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0.52) | 57.47% ( 0.53) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.05% ( 0.17) | 10.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.83% ( 0.37) | 35.17% ( -0.36) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -1.25) | 32.84% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( -1.43) | 69.41% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.33)1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 62.25% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.11% |
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