SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Crusaders |
27.48% ( -0.71) | 23.78% ( 0.12) | 48.74% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.45% ( -1.03) | 43.55% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( -1.02) | 65.95% ( 1.02) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( -1.04) | 29.21% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.84% ( -1.3) | 65.15% ( 1.3) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.17) | 18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.29) | 48.87% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 27.48% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.62% Total : 48.74% |
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