SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
46.64% ( -0.17) | 25.24% ( 0.01) | 28.12% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.03) | 49.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( 0.03) | 71.54% ( -0.03) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( -0.06) | 21.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% ( -0.09) | 54.15% ( 0.09) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0.13) | 31.82% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.15) | 68.26% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.12% |
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