SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
63% ( 1.27) | 20.15% ( -0.5) | 16.85% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.93% ( 0.95) | 40.06% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% ( 0.97) | 62.43% ( -0.97) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.65) | 12.13% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% ( 1.35) | 37.72% ( -1.35) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.32) | 37.05% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.32) | 73.84% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.78% Total : 63% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.85% |
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