SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
62.81% ( 0.57) | 21.64% ( -0.29) | 15.55% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.7) | 48.98% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 0.63) | 71.06% ( -0.63) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.42) | 15% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.54% ( 0.78) | 43.46% ( -0.78) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0.06) | 44.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.79% ( 0.04) | 80.21% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 15.55% |
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