SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
20.71% ( 0.1) | 22.73% ( 0.04) | 56.56% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.02) | 45.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -0.02) | 67.97% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.09) | 36.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.09% ( 0.09) | 72.91% ( -0.1) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( -0.06) | 15.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.81% ( -0.1) | 45.19% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.71% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 56.56% |
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