SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
38.66% ( 0.38) | 25.11% ( 0.06) | 36.23% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( -0.31) | 46.21% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( -0.29) | 68.5% ( 0.3) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( 0.06) | 23.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( 0.08) | 57.73% ( -0.08) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.38) | 24.94% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( -0.53) | 59.57% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.23% |
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