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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 4
Glentoran

Snoddy (9'), Campbell (61')
McCloskey (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McMenamin (20', 80', 90+6'), Donnelly (78')
Marshall (35'), McDaid (45+2'), McCarey (73'), McMenamin (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Glentoran.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawGlentoran
28.61%25.01%46.38%
Both teams to score 54.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16%20.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49%53.51%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 28.61%
    Glentoran 46.38%
    Draw 25.01%
GlenavonDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 7.56%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 4.45%
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 7.9%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.38%

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