Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.