SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 51.48% | 23.89% | 24.63% |
| Both teams to score 54.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% | 46.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% | 68.67% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% | 18.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.92% |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% | 32.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.47% | 69.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.63% |
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