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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 3
Glenavon

Place (12'), Keeley (45+1'), McElroy (80')
Strain (45'), Keeley (56'), Redman (57'), Millar (70'), Place (90+2')
Keeley (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fitzpatrick (7'), Campbell (46'), McCloskey (69')
Birney (40'), Wallace (45'), Fitzpatrick (56')
Wallace (56'), Garrett (72')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
51.48%23.89%24.63%
Both teams to score 54.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61%46.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33%68.67%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97%18.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08%48.92%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 51.47%
    Glenavon 24.63%
    Draw 23.88%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 5.53%
3-0 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 24.63%

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