Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.