Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
56.3% | 23.26% | 20.45% |
Both teams to score 51.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% | 70.37% |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.07% | 16.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% | 47.01% |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.13% | 37.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% | 74.64% |
Score Analysis |
Crusaders | Draw | Glenavon |
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.94% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 56.29% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.45% |
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