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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Glentoran


McGuigan (25'), Graham (29'), Rocks (80'), Nelson (90+1')
Graham (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogedi-Uzokwe (7'), Donnelly (90+4')
Palmer (53'), Ogedi-Uzokwe (69'), Donnelly (79'), Kelly (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glentoran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Linfield
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Glentoran
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.01%) and 0-3 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Glentoran in this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlentoran
9.33% (-0.29 -0.29) 18.17% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 72.5% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 39.76% (-1.197 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (-0.995 -0.99)49.07% (0.997 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.907 -0.91)71.15% (0.91 0.91)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.25% (-1.252 -1.25)54.75% (1.253 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.27% (-0.77 -0.77)87.74% (0.77300000000001 0.77)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.211 -0.21)12.13% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-0.453 -0.45)37.72% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 9.33%
    Glentoran 72.5%
    Draw 18.17%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlentoran
1-0 @ 4% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.54% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 1.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 9.33%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 18.17%
0-2 @ 14.77% (0.35 0.35)
0-1 @ 14.01% (0.45 0.45)
0-3 @ 10.39% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 5.48% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-5 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 72.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Linfield
Friday, August 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 3-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Crusaders
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-1 Ballymena
Friday, August 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 2-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Glentoran
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-2 Larne
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Glentoran
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-1 Gzira (13-14 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gzira 2-2 Glentoran
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, May 13 at 4.30pm in NIFL Premiership


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