SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glentoran |
18.96% ( 1.01) | 23.92% ( 0.76) | 57.11% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% ( -1.57) | 52.77% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( -1.35) | 74.4% ( 1.35) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.26) | 42.11% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( 0.23) | 78.53% ( -0.23) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -1.22) | 18.3% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -2.1) | 49.37% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.96% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 11.11% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.27)0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.1% |
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