SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Ballymena United |
72.93% ( 1.21) | 17.27% ( -0.33) | 9.8% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 44.42% ( -2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( -1.15) | 43.77% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( -1.13) | 66.16% ( 1.13) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.45% | 10.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.73% ( 0.01) | 34.27% ( -0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.65% ( -2.5) | 50.34% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.1% ( -1.78) | 84.89% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.59)3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 72.92% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.27% | 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.8% |
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