SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
12.28% ( -0) | 17.64% ( 0) | 70.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.03) | 38.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( -0.03) | 60.7% ( 0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.02) | 42.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.29% ( -0.02) | 78.7% ( 0.01) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.17% ( -0.01) | 9.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.37% ( -0.02) | 32.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.28% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.64% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.02% 1-4 @ 4.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-5 @ 2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 4.8% Total : 70.08% |
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